Golden Globe Award Prediction: Boyhood has the highest chance of winning in 12 years.
Special feature of 1905 film network Judging from the whole nomination situation, the Golden Globe Awards still follow the old way of "summarizer" in the award season. Still those familiar faces, or those familiar films, or a large and comprehensive nomination list. According to the trend of films in the award season, the number of awards won and the word-of-mouth of film critics, on the whole, and followed closely, while, and these three biographies are too safe and mainstream, and basically lose the chance to win the first prize. The alternative inspirational films, which have been popular since last year, are a little weak. Although the director Damien Chazelle became famous, he probably can’t do much.
There are 30 nominations for the performance category of the Golden Globe Awards, which is somewhat "chaotic". However, there are only a few popular actors who have the chance to win the prize. The situation of actor melee is more complicated. Everyone has the opportunity and strength. Among the actresses, Julianne Moore was shortlisted for two best actress awards with Starway, which is the candidate with the highest chance.
Best drama: 4/5 is the biography "Youth" still has the highest chance of winning.
Of the five films nominated for best drama, four are biographies. Selma tells a story about Martin Luther King, while The Imitation Game focuses on the legendary Turing. The protagonist of The Theory of Everything is Hawking. It is worth mentioning that after watching this movie, Hawking made it clear that he likes this movie very much, and although it was spit out by the prototype of the characters, as a movie, it is complete and full of emotions. Although it has a certain style tendency, it is somewhat far from ordinary fans, but it takes a lot of advantage in the award selection.
Among the five films, the only fictional film — — "Youth" is the most like a documentary. In pursuit of authenticity, film director richard linklater spent 12 years shooting this film. Waiting for the actor to grow up abruptly, filming the growth and change of an American youth from 6 to 18 years old. You can say that this is the director’s paranoia and his willfulness — — Of course, on the artistic level, this is the embodiment of a director’s ethics and execution.
According to the mainstream media in North America, "Youth" is unparalleled, not only because of the 12-year shooting time, but also because of the calm and indifferent texture conveyed in the film. In contrast, The Imitation Game is somewhat commercialized, while The Theory of Everything is like a love fairy tale, without the heavy feeling of winning the prize. Although The Fox Catcher is powerful, its restrained lens language and criticism of wealth still make the film not within the scope of mainstream values. Moreover, in recent days, the film has been "hated" by the protagonist prototype on social networking sites for seven times in a row, which is at the forefront of public opinion. Selma’s large-scale release time is very short, and its influence is limited. Moreover, it has already talked about racial issues last year, and the film theme is not dominant. Therefore, in terms of the best drama, "Youth" has the greatest chance of winning.
Best Music/Comedy: Birdman or Beating The Grand Budapest Hotel.
A small mix of geek comedies, gay movies and fairy tales is the second-tier film among the five nominated films in this award. First of all, the word-of-mouth of "Magic Black Forest" is quite general, and some media even think that the whole film is nothing except Meryl Streep’s performance. The remaining two films, although of acceptable standard, are indeed dispensable films in the award season. Apart from the Golden Globe Award, which lists comedy/music films separately, these two films are hard to find in the awards season. The remaining two films, Birdman and The Grand Budapest Hotel, are popular films in the award season. Moreover, the unique and unforgettable Birdman is very promising in the Oscar selection.
The Grand Budapest Hotel has a strong wes anderson style and is a unique work of this unique director. However, Anderson’s performance at the Golden Globe Award is very ordinary. This is his first nomination for the Golden Globe Award, and the chances of winning the award are not great, because those who were nominated for the Oscar before, and, all lost their trophies at the Golden Globe Award. Therefore, this "same recipe, same taste" film is hard to win at the Golden Globe Awards. Therefore, Bird Man, which is technically impeccable and has a strong "fantasy" plot, has become the film with the highest winning rate. Moreover, in this film, alejandro gonzalez inarritu also teased Hollywood by accident, showing his views on Hollywood as a Mexican "outsider". His view may win the favor of the Golden Globe Award hosted by hollywood foreign press association.
Best director: Richard Linkte’s 12-year sword-sharpening award is in sight.
There are only five nominated best director awards, which are the most variable and the most competitive. Linklater, the director of "Youth", used time, patience, emotion and execution to make a fictional film show the reality of documentary. The film thus gained an incredible texture. Although the three-hour-long film is a little dull and boring, it is as memorable as the taste of life. Especially the mother in the film, she said that after sending her two children away, she was waiting for her funeral, which was quite touching.
Birdman is full of whimsy. Although the clues of the story are old-fashioned, Inarito took the story to another level with his own means and skills of "turning ordinary into extraordinary". Although female directors ava duvernay, who filmed Selma, is 42 years old, she can be said to be a new director. Her outbreak this year has something to do with her accumulation in the circle for nearly ten years. Moreover, the black perspective and the film mixed with black street elements are refreshing.
As for wes anderson and david fincher, they just contributed the films engraved with their style as always, without any breakthrough or innovation. This kind of directing work, at best, is called personal style; At worst, it is called standing still and standing still. Therefore, these two are not very competitive in the best director award. On the whole, richard linklater’s epic shooting process and extraordinary creativity are likely to win him the honor of best director.
next page Performance awards: michael keaton and Julianne Moore have obvious advantages.